Marlins vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 6/29/23

Boston Red Sox (40-41) vs Miami Marlins (47-34)

Game Info: Thursday, June 29, 2023 at 6:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Brayan Bello (5-4) (3.27) vs Jesus Luzardo (6-5) (3.77)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -125 / Miami Marlins +105 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 of their series on Thursday night at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. 

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 47-34 this season and they have won four Games in a row. Miami has won the first two Games in this series by scores of 10-1 and 6-2. The Miami pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 332 runs with a .263 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Luis Arraez is batting .396 with three home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Jesus Luzardo, who is 6-5 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 90.2 innings pitched this year. 

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 40-41 this season and they have lost four Games in a row. Prior to losing the first two Games in this series, Boston lost two out of three Games to the White Sox. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 397 runs with a .260 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 5-4 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 66.0 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

Miami is 6-0 in their last 6 road Games and 6-1 in their last 7 Game three’s of a series. The over is 6-0-1 in Miami’s last 7 Thursday Games. Boston is 4-2 in their last 6 home Games and 1-6 in their last 7 Games. The over is 7-1 in Boston’s last 8 Thursday Games. Miami is 4-15 in these two teams last 19 head to head meetings in Boston.

Pick

The Red Sox come into this matchup last in the AL East, but they are over .500 at home this year. Miami has played very well this year and they are second in the NL East. Miami is starting Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Boston is starting Brayan Bello, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Red Sox to get the win here. 

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