Phillies vs Pirates Prediction - MLB Picks 7/30/23

Pittsburgh Pirates (46-58) vs Philadelphia Phillies (56-48)

Game Info: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 1:35 pm (PNC Park)

Rich Hill (7-10) (4.82) vs Cristopher Sanchez (0-3) (2.98)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +125 / Philadelphia Phillies -145 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Philadelphia won Game 1 in this series by a score of 2-1, while Pittsburgh answered with a 7-6 win in Game 2. The Phillies blew a 4-1 lead on Saturday and had plenty of chances to tie the Game up, but couldn’t find a timely hit. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 56-48 this season and they have won three of their last four Games. Prior to splitting the first two Games in this series, Philadelphia won two out of three Games at home against the Orioles. The Phillies are currently second in the NL East, but they trail the Braves by 11 Games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average this year. The Phillies offense has scored 466 runs with a .255 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber is batting .185 with 27 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 0-3 with a 2.98 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 42.1 innings pitched this season.

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 46-58 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last 10 Games. Pittsburgh has played much better in their last 10 Games than they did over the previous two months, where they really fell off in the NL Central. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 429 runs with a .236 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. Jack Suwinski is batting .229 with 21 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Rich Hill, who is 7-10 with a 4.82 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 114.0 innings pitched this year. 

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Matchup/League Facts

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T3rd in the league for triples this season (21).

The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks T7th in the league for triples this season (18).

The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks T9th in the league for walks this season (357).

Pick

The Phillies come into this Game as the favorite and they are the much better team in this matchup. Philadelphia is starting Cristopher Sanchez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Pittsburgh is starting Rich Hill, who has allowed 2, 4, 3, 5, and 3 earned runs in his last six outings. I expect the Phillies to have a big day against Hill, who allows way too many baserunners. Take the Phillies here. 

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